The BJP appears to hold the edge in Madhya Pradesh and Rajasthan, while the Congress seems to be ahead in Telangana and Chhattisgarh.
Given the proximity of the five state Assembly elections to the 2024 Lok Sabha polls, several psephologists conducted exit polls on Thursday, 30 November, after voting ended in Telangana.
The election results will be out on 3 December. But before that, here are the predictions on how the five states may choose.
Five exit polls see the Congress touching or crossing the majority mark of 60 in the 119-member Telangana Assembly. Three of them predict the party having an outer range of 70 seats.
As far as the ruling BRS is concerned, two polls do not expect it to even touch 48 seats. One of them gives it a maximum of 33!
Three polls expect the BRS to cross 50, but none of them sees it crossing 58 seats.
In the case of Madhya Pradesh, five out of eight exit polls give the edge to the BJP, and all of them say the party will touch or even cross the simple majority mark.
None of the exit polls predicts that the Congress will reach the magic figure. Only three of them give a slight edge to the Congress, even then the number is much below 116, the simple-majority mark.
No exit poll predicts the Congress coming close to the simple majority of 100 seats in Rajasthan.
In contrast, five polls see the BJP touching century at the minimum; some even go up to 130 seats for the saffron party. The maximum polls give the election to the BJP.
All eight exit polls see the Congress easily touching or crossing the simple majority mark of 46 seats in Chhattisgarh.
On the other hand, two polls predict a comfortable position for the BJP, while the rest feel it will fare poorly.
Mizoram is a tough call. Two pollsters see the Mizo National Front (MNF) touching the magic figure of 21, while one gives a clear edge to the Zoram People’s Movement (ZPM). The rest predict a single-largest party status to the MNF.
All polls predict the Congress bettering its performance from last time, while the BJP is expected to be relegated to a distant fourth position.