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Telangana braces for ‘mini summer’ as El Niño deepens monsoon deficit

Local trackers put actual rainfall at 112.5 mm against a normal of 156.3 mm as of 10 July, a 28 percent deficit.

Published Jul 12, 2026 | 11:59 AMUpdated Jul 12, 2026 | 11:59 AM

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Synopsis: With the monsoon stalling across Telangana, the state faces a stretch of unseasonal heat forecasters are calling a “mini summer”. IMD has forecast a sustained dry spell across Telangana at least until 22 July,

With the monsoon stalling across Telangana, the state faces a stretch of unseasonal heat forecasters are calling a “mini summer”.

According to the India Meteorological Department (IMD), temperatures on 10 July were already high, with East Telangana touching 37-39°C and Hyderabad recording 35-36°C. Sunday, 12 July, is set to bring April-type heat.

Weather trackers said the heat will build further over the next four days, pushing East Telangana to 37-40°C and the city to 36-37°C, with no rain expected in that window.

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IMD forecasts a dry spell 

IMD has forecast a sustained dry spell across Telangana at least until 22 July, with the state already recording roughly a one-third rainfall deficit for July and an overall seasonal shortfall nearing 19 percent.

July is normally one of Telangana’s wettest months. Local trackers put actual rainfall at 112.5 mm against a normal of 156.3 mm as of 10 July, a 28 percent deficit. The deficit is projected to worsen to nearly 50 percent by 22–23 July, with eastern Hyderabad especially exposed.

Experts pointed to an emerging El Niño pattern reshaping the monsoon nationwide. India’s 2026 monsoon has developed under a growing El Niño threat, with predictions of below-normal rainfall and a significant chance of a deficient season overall.

Its effects, however, are uneven. Maharashtra’s rains have favoured only Konkan and Central Maharashtra, leaving Vidarbha and Marathwada dry. Rajasthan, Gujarat, western Madhya Pradesh and Delhi have seen only their onset spells. Only the eastern and northeastern states of Odisha, Bihar, Jharkhand, West Bengal, Chhattisgarh and the Northeast are set for healthy rains due to a northward-shifted monsoon trough.

Nationally, the deficit already stands near 14 percent and could reach 20–25 percent by month’s end despite a few expected low-pressure systems.

For Telangana, meaningful relief may not arrive before the final 10 days of July, with August as the fallback hope.

According to the Telangana Planning and Development Society, East Hyderabad localities such as Uppal, Boduppal, Nacharam, Malkajgiri, Kapra, Keesara, Nagole, Kothapet, and nearby areas are likely to be worst hit by monsoon deficit, with a severe water crisis affecting residents.

(With inputs from Sreshta Ladegaam.)

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