On vote share, BJP leads narrowly at 39%, just ahead of Congress at 37%, with AGP and BPF contributing 7% and 5.5% respectively.
Published Jan 03, 2026 | 12:16 PM ⚊ Updated Jan 03, 2026 | 12:16 PM
Assam CM Himanta Biswa Sarma and Union Home Minister Amit Shah. Credit: x.com/himantabiswa
Synopsis: The latest People’s Pulse Tracker Poll projects BJP winning 69–74 seats in Assam’s 2026 Assembly elections, securing a third consecutive term. With NDA allies, the coalition could reach 90 seats. Congress gains marginally, but Opposition disarray and delimitation favour BJP’s dominance, reinforced by welfare schemes and tribal outreach.
The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is poised to secure a third consecutive term in Assam, according to the latest Tracker Poll by People’s Pulse Research Organization.
Conducted between 15 November and 31 December, 2025, the survey projects the BJP winning 69–74 seats in the 126-member Assembly, comfortably crossing the majority mark.
With NDA allies—AGP (8–11 seats) and BPF (8–10 seats)—the coalition is expected to touch 90 seats, signalling a decisive victory amid a fragmented Opposition.
Congress is projected at 25–29 seats, while smaller parties like AIUDF, UPPL, Raijor Dal, and AJP face near wipeouts.
On vote share, BJP leads narrowly at 39 percent, just ahead of Congress at 37 percent, with AGP and BPF contributing 7 percent and 5.5 percent respectively.
Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma remains the top choice with 30 percent support, closely followed by Sarbananda Sonowal (28 percent) and Congress’ Gaurav Gogoi (27 percent).
Despite Gogoi’s personal appeal, Congress struggles to convert popularity into seats.
48 percent see it as better for Assam’s development, and 55 percent believe it deserves another chance. Welfare schemes, tribal outreach, and delimitation gains have bolstered the NDA, while Congress grapples with infighting and AIUDF’s collapse.
