One in five typhoid deaths in India occurs in Telangana

The figures come from the Report on Medical Certification of Cause of Death for 2023, which documents all medically certified deaths across India.

Published Jan 15, 2026 | 8:00 AMUpdated Jan 15, 2026 | 8:00 AM

Typhoid (Creative Commons)

Synopsis: Telangana recorded 202 typhoid and paratyphoid deaths in 2023, nearly one in every five such deaths registered across India. When population is factored in, Telangana’s burden appears disproportionately heavy, raising urgent questions about disease surveillance and public health infrastructure in the state.

Telangana recorded 202 typhoid and paratyphoid deaths in 2023, nearly one in every five such deaths registered across India, making it the state with the second-highest death toll from the disease, according to official data from the Office of the Registrar General of India.

Only Uttar Pradesh, with its far larger population, recorded more deaths at 377. However, when population is factored in, Telangana’s burden appears disproportionately heavy, raising urgent questions about disease surveillance and public health infrastructure in the state.

The figures come from the Report on Medical Certification of Cause of Death (MCCD) for 2023, which documents all medically certified deaths across India.

Of the 1,075 total typhoid and paratyphoid deaths recorded nationwide, Telangana alone accounted for 18.8 percent, a striking concentration for a state that represents just 2.5 percent of India’s population.

Punjab ranked third with 118 deaths, followed by Delhi with 36 deaths. Maharashtra, despite being India’s second-most populous state, recorded only 53 deaths.

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A massive surveillance gap

However, these official figures reveal only a fraction of the true toll. A comprehensive modelling study published this month in The Lancet Regional Health – Southeast Asia estimates that India actually experienced 7,850 typhoid deaths in 2023, more than seven times the number captured in official death certificates.

The study, which analysed data from 4.9 million estimated typhoid cases nationwide, paints a far grimmer picture than government records suggest. The seven-fold gap between official death certificates (1,075) and research estimates (7,850) exposes critical weaknesses in India’s disease surveillance system.

Thousands of typhoid deaths are going uncounted, particularly in rural areas and among those who never reach a hospital.

Why such a massive discrepancy?

The Medical Certification of Cause of Death system captures only deaths that occur in medical facilities with proper documentation. It systematically misses large segments of the actual death toll.

Deaths outside the healthcare system: The Lancet study specifically estimated that around 2,470 people died from typhoid in 2023 without ever seeking treatment, perhaps unable to afford care, living too far from hospitals, or unaware of how serious their illness had become. These deaths often do not generate medical certificates and are therefore excluded from official statistics entirely.

Misdiagnosis and misclassification: Without proper diagnostic testing, such as blood cultures, many typhoid deaths may be recorded under vague categories, including “fever of unknown origin,” “sepsis,” or “multi-organ failure,” rather than specifically as typhoid. The disease gets buried in paperwork under different names.

Rural and private sector gaps: MCCD data have a well-documented urban bias and incomplete coverage. Many deaths in rural areas go unregistered entirely, whilst private hospitals may not consistently report deaths to the civil registration system. In a country where millions receive healthcare outside government facilities, this creates enormous blind spots.

Regional variation in reporting: The stark differences between states may reflect not just actual disease burden but also dramatic variations in healthcare access, diagnostic capacity, and the quality of death registration systems.

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Southern states show suspiciously low numbers

The discrepancies become even more striking when examining other southern states. According to MCCD data for 2023:

  • Karnataka: five deaths
  • Tamil Nadu: five deaths
  • Andhra Pradesh: six deaths
  • Kerala: zero deaths

The study estimated that Uttar Pradesh, Maharashtra, West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, and Andhra Pradesh together account for almost half of all typhoid cases nationwide. Yet Tamil Nadu shows only five certified deaths, and Andhra Pradesh only six in official records.

These glaring contradictions suggest that Karnataka, Tamil Nadu, and Andhra Pradesh aren’t necessarily doing better than Telangana at controlling typhoid. Rather, Telangana may simply have better disease surveillance and death reporting systems that capture cases other states are missing entirely.

Alternatively, these states may have higher proportions of deaths occurring in private healthcare facilities that don’t feed into the MCCD system, or their rural death registration may be particularly weak.

The hidden epidemic in numbers

To understand the scale of undercounting, consider what the Lancet study found:

Estimated cases nationwide: 4.9 million in 2023
Estimated hospitalisations: 730,000 people required hospital admission
Estimated deaths: 7,850 people died from typhoid
Official MCCD deaths: Only 1,075 were medically certified

This means 86.3 per cent of typhoid deaths are invisible in official government statistics. For every death that gets counted and certified, more than six others go unrecorded.

The study used data from the Surveillance for Enteric Fever in India (SEFI) project, a population-based, multi-site study conducted from 2017 to 2020. SEFI employed active surveillance across four community-based sites and six hospital-based surveillance sites, tracking both children and adults. This methodologically rigorous approach captured cases that routine health systems miss.

The researchers combined SEFI’s incidence data with state-wise population figures, healthcare utilisation patterns, and mortality estimates to model the true national burden. Their geospatial analysis showed state-wise incidence estimates ranging from 149 to 1,245 cases per 100,000 person-years, with a national mean incidence of 360 cases per 100,000 person-years.

(Edited by Muhammed Fazil.)

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